Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.2%
- Current value
- $5.52K
- Potential payout
- $9.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.97K
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $3.9K
Polymarket Trader
0x437b...1d11
0x437b8749ebbc7dda4d64079d27573b32ab441d11
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $5.69K
- Realized PnL
- $1.36K
- Win rate
- 55%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $163.46
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$135.03
Yes position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $153.59
- Potential profit
- $149.52
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$3.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $488.57
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.54
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $401.37
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.02
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.7
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.19x
- User PnL
- $169.69
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $101.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.31
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.17
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.54
Yes position
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$57
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$67.21
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$85.42
Yes position
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$97.33
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 February 9-15?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$190.2
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$195.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21% 20 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21.1% 2,087.39 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.1% 2,781.81 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.9% 810.47 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.5% 1,971.35 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 21% 1,421.43 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.8% 2,000 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.9% 6,344.51 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes 0.5% 828.95 shares
- France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes 0.5% 1,959.81 shares
- Crude Oil all time high by March 31?Yes 0.4% 666.66 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11% 2,781.82 shares