Polymarket Trader

dresden77

0x437c54031fa45db31ac75a0b7f2241bcc81edfa4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $32.2K
Realized PnL: $6.12K
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.21K
Potential profit: $167.21K
User PnL: -$5K

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $18.22K
Potential payout: $99.82K
Potential profit: $81.6K
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: -$8.78K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.87K
Potential profit: $71.87K
User PnL: -$10K

Yes position

Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.71K
Potential profit: $53.71K
User PnL: -$7.51K

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.43K
Potential profit: $41.43K
User PnL: -$4.76K

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.1%
Current value: $13.99K
Potential payout: $36.76K
Potential profit: $22.77K
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$6.01K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.82K
Potential profit: $29.82K
User PnL: -$299.97

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.31K
Potential profit: $10.31K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.69K
Potential profit: $6.69K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the top Spotify album for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.72K
Potential profit: $4.72K
User PnL: -$500

No position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.44K
Potential profit: $3.44K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.72K
Potential profit: $2.72K
User PnL: -$1K

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$500

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29K

No position

Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

No position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.27

No position

Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.26

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.8%
Multiplier: 4.20x
User PnL: -$546.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

No 88.1% 3,405.27 shares
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Yes 6.3% 25,000 shares
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Yes 0.9% 23,430.01 shares
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Yes 11.6% 8,653.36 shares
Will The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the top Spotify album for 2025?

Yes 10.6% 4,718.56 shares
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Yes 19.4% 10,305.4 shares
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

No 81.5% 6,549.55 shares
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Yes 11.5% 41,425.57 shares
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 13.9% 71,872.91 shares
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

No 58.1% 3,444.55 shares
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Yes 13.1% 38,095.68 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 15% 6,686.12 shares