Polymarket Trader

Gemini13

0x4381d514f5f42fb64d663f8e67782c1c17626bd6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.18
Realized PnL: $671.18
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.71
Potential profit: $107.71
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $23.18
Potential payout: $65.31
Potential profit: $42.12
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$2.29

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.2
Potential profit: $21.2
User PnL: -$5

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.5
Potential profit: $9.5
User PnL: -$3.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.5

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.89

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.26

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 1 Winner

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.6

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.63

3DMAX position

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.1

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.91

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winner

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.71

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.28

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $19.79

BIG position

Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 39% 65.31 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 49% 86.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 26.1% 86.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 76% 31.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 58% 31.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 67% 28.08 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 34% 28.09 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Team Falcons 99% 7.27 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Team Falcons 43% 7.28 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Team Falcons 8% 12.5 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Team Falcons 46% 8.7 shares
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

MOUZ 32% 9.5 shares