NiftySea

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150K
Potential profit: $150K
User PnL: -$616.8

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $217.67
Potential payout: $5.25K
Potential profit: $5.03K
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$41.97

Yes position

Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $192.68
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $3.05K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $4.44

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $131.1
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $75.9

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $919.08
Potential payout: $995.21
Potential profit: $76.13
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $8.58

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $807.01
Potential payout: $949.98
Potential profit: $142.97
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $5.88

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $356
Potential payout: $799.99
Potential profit: $444
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $99
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $500.99
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $10.17
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $539.83
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $3.53

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.98
Potential profit: $219.98
User PnL: -$110.14

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $158.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $41.1
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $24.9

Yes position

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.03
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.08

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-8.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.99
Potential profit: $129.99
User PnL: -$42.95

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.01
Potential profit: $120.01
User PnL: -$21.88

Yes position

Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $109.99
Potential profit: $108.29
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $99.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.75
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $5.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.65
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $3.85

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $82.5
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $57.66
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$4.21

Yes position

Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Ends Jan 25, 2027

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $7.15
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $47.85
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $4.16
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $40.84
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $17.25
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $12.75
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27.75
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.13
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Iowa State Cyclones position

Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will Spain record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $716.41

Boston Terriers position

Colgate Raiders vs. Boston Terriers

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $486.37

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $425.88

Butler Bulldogs position

Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogs

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $391.64

Yes position

Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $388.41

Yes position

Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373.9

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.46

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $366.1

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.36

Wisconsin Badgers position

Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.05

Yes position

Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.25

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.81

Houston Christian Huskies position

Nicholls Colonels vs. Houston Christian Huskies

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.69

Over position

Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 221.5

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.21

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.97

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.47

Yes position

Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186

No position

Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.43

Arkansas Razorbacks position

Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-7.5)

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.34

Seton Hall Pirates position

Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogs

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.65

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?