Polymarket Trader

yankus

0x43928e9bcdaff3068b3027a7150dc09222c15723

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $732.34
Realized PnL: $626.44
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $145.32
Potential payout: $747.16
Potential profit: $601.84
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $14.32

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $83.58
Potential payout: $603.48
Potential profit: $519.9
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$21.42

Yes position

Will Solana reach $100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $597.9
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$8.9

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $46.68
Potential payout: $442.48
Potential profit: $395.8
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$3.32

Yes position

Will Solana reach $90 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3.48
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $431.3
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$16.52

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $332.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.17

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $103.03
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $200
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $26.25
Potential payout: $276.32
Potential profit: $250.07
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$8.75

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $10.8
Potential payout: $198.12
Potential profit: $187.33
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$7.22

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $7.98
Potential payout: $183.98
Potential profit: $176
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $126.93
Potential payout: $181.32
Potential profit: $54.4
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $9.07

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $132.58
Potential profit: $130.52
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.94

No position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $100.94
Potential payout: $104.71
Potential profit: $3.77
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $11.68
Potential payout: $86.21
Potential profit: $74.53
Multiplier: 7.38x
User PnL: $1.68

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $65.77
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $9.54
Potential payout: $62.54
Potential profit: $53
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $3.54

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $3.41
Potential payout: $47.06
Potential profit: $43.65
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: -$36.59

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.78
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $32.46
Potential profit: $27.57
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$1.12

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $21.38
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $9.39
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $10.45
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $19.85
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $26.93
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36.8%
Current value: $8.79
Potential payout: $23.92
Potential profit: $15.13
Multiplier: 2.72x
User PnL: $3.79

Over position

Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $198.39

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54.5%
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $88.83

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.2%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $41.12

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $39.84

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.19

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 86%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $22.15

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.4

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.72

Under position

Oilers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.83

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.69

Under position

Lightning vs. Stars: O/U 6.5

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.84

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.86

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Timberwolves position

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

Under position

Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.19

No position

Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.56

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.31

Cody Garbrandt position

UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.29

Under position

Nuggets vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

No position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.65

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

Nets position

Bulls vs. Nets

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

Brazil 28% 17.85 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

No 77.5% 6.45 shares
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 3.5

Over 24% 20.83 shares
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Brazil 51% 9.8 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 46% 10.86 shares
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

Portugal 44% 11.36 shares
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)

Croatia 41% 12.19 shares
Spread: England (-2.5)

England 38% 13.15 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 192.3 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20.9% 23.92 shares
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 26% 19.23 shares