No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $47.7
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $12.3
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $21.3
Polymarket Trader
pushup124t
0x43b47f0fd178121d5745aa4bc7acc739d5495389
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $105.45
- Realized PnL
- $407.39
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $17.75
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $32.24
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$16.25
Y
Yes position
Will Trump's Speech to the Nation be between 25 and 30 minutes long?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $31.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Pistons position
Magic vs. Pistons
Ends Jan 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $456.84
Yes position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 11?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Multiplier
- 22.99x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 22 minutes?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 20 minutes?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.22
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Yes position
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.65
No position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 10?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.8
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will Trump say "Peace" 8+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 91% 250 shares
- Will MrBeast's latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1?No 87% 100 shares
- Will MrBeast's latest video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?Yes 79% 200 shares
- Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?No 67% 20 shares
- Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?Yes 63.6% 400 shares
- Will Diplo run the 5k in under 22 minutes?No 27% 4.08 shares
- Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?No 50% 20 shares
- Will Diplo run the 5k in under 20 minutes?No 72% 100 shares
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?Yes 37% 200 shares
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?No 39% 99.99 shares
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?Yes 77% 200 shares
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?No 31% 200 shares