budu100

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $35.65K
Potential payout: $35.67K
Potential profit: $17.84
User PnL: $1.63K

No position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $11.26K
Potential payout: $11.95K
Potential profit: $686.91
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $866.23

No position

NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $6.36K
Potential payout: $6.38K
Potential profit: $22.33
User PnL: $251.39

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $4.73K
Potential payout: $4.74K
Potential profit: $11.85
User PnL: $87.79

No position

Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.48K
Potential payout: $4.48K
Potential profit: $6.72
User PnL: $154.97

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.74K
Potential payout: $3.74K
Potential profit: $1.87
User PnL: $69.5

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $2.92K
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $169.78
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $93.14

No position

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.73K
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $9.57
User PnL: $104.84

No position

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.41K
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $0.7
User PnL: $45.29

No position

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $928.26
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $157.43
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$27.3

No position

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $545.38
Potential payout: $585.49
Potential profit: $40.11
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $26.83

No position

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $382.7
Potential payout: $385.4
Potential profit: $2.7
User PnL: $24.28

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.55
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $208.62
Potential payout: $229.26
Potential profit: $20.63
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $6.88

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $174
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $26
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $138.26
Potential payout: $138.33
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $3.25

No position

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Implied probability: 89.4%
Current value: $104.69
Potential payout: $117.1
Potential profit: $12.41
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.79

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $93.73
Potential payout: $100.08
Potential profit: $6.36
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $90.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $9.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $60.82
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $1.82

No position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $38.24
Potential payout: $45.25
Potential profit: $7.01
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $31.07
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $4.64
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $22.62
Potential payout: $25.7
Potential profit: $3.08
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.29

No position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15.99
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $3.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.99

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $330.21

No position

Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.25

No position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.9

No position

Will Russia join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.71

No position

Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.08

No position

Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.24

No position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $97.18

No position

Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.38

No position

Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.87

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.11

No position

Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.94

No position

Will China join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.21

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.15

No position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.4

Yes position

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.57

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

Yes position

Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $45

No position

Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?