niksa15

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212.48
Potential profit: $212.48
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.77
Potential profit: $186.77
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump say "250" at Fort Bragg on Friday?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.37
Potential profit: $83.37
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.92
Potential profit: $75.92
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.46
Potential profit: $72.46
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.35
Potential profit: $71.35
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $54.05
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $7.9
Potential payout: $47.17
Potential profit: $39.27
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 20–30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$20.25

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.81
Potential profit: $42.81
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.89
Potential profit: $38.89
User PnL: -$7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.21
Potential profit: $27.21
User PnL: -$2.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.88

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.48

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 31.7%
Multiplier: 3.16x
User PnL: $3.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.28

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET