shred7777

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $3.44K
Potential payout: $3.45K
Potential profit: $5.17
User PnL: $66.88

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.58K
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $20.82
User PnL: $107.75

No position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $1.94K
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $17.58
User PnL: $111.43

No position

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $61.2
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $40.8

No position

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $2.26
User PnL: $161.09

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.41K
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $2.82
User PnL: $109.88

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $2.03
User PnL: $26.55

No position

Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $969.87
Potential payout: $972.3
Potential profit: $2.43
User PnL: $18.95

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $918.42
Potential payout: $923.04
Potential profit: $4.62
User PnL: $51.38

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $377.67
Potential payout: $821.03
Potential profit: $443.36
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $24.63

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $605.5
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $94.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$10.5

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $687.3
Potential payout: $689.71
Potential profit: $2.41
User PnL: $30.1

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $632.97
Potential payout: $643.92
Potential profit: $10.95
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $78.66

No position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $625.9
Potential payout: $629.36
Potential profit: $3.46
User PnL: $10.36

No position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $561.1
Potential payout: $600.43
Potential profit: $39.33
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $23.98

No position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $415.3
Potential payout: $557.45
Potential profit: $142.15
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $49.79

No position

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $537.69
Potential payout: $540.66
Potential profit: $2.97
User PnL: $16.12

No position

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $494.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $5.75
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $14.25

No position

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $413.89
Potential payout: $418.92
Potential profit: $5.03
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $33.15

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $294
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $106
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $362
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $38
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$2

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $271.92
Potential payout: $312.55
Potential profit: $40.63
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $40.63

No position

Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $287.86
Potential payout: $311.2
Potential profit: $23.34
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $5.58

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $293.2
Potential payout: $309.12
Potential profit: $15.92
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $8.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $938.51

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $738.82

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $588.17

No position

Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $510.08

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $504.68

No position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432.63

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $415.58

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.45

No position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.65

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.8

No position

Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $322.2

No position

Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300.55

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.54

No position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.39

No position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.03

No position

Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.92

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.81

No position

Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.11

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.66

No position

Will Russia capture Siversk by October 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.39

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.97

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.4

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?