Yes position
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $145.64
- Potential payout
- $97.09K
- Potential profit
- $96.94K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$48.55
Polymarket Trader
0x43cf...d143
0x43cfb8b46fc71af6b496b3f3699c615b9394d143
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $13.31K
- Realized PnL
- $9.87K
- Win rate
- 20.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $226.56
- Potential payout
- $64.73K
- Potential profit
- $64.5K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $32.37
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $315.63
- Potential payout
- $48.56K
- Potential profit
- $48.24K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$169.95
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $38.82K
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $500
Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $174.78
- Potential payout
- $38.84K
- Potential profit
- $38.67K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$19.42
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $4.6K
- Potential payout
- $34.04K
- Potential profit
- $29.45K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$5.59K
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $133.53
- Potential payout
- $24.28K
- Potential profit
- $24.14K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$60.69
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $936.48
- Potential payout
- $23.71K
- Potential profit
- $22.77K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$35.54
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $97.11
- Potential payout
- $17.66K
- Potential profit
- $17.56K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$97.1
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $215.06
- Potential payout
- $13.88K
- Potential profit
- $13.66K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $20.81
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $167.29
- Potential payout
- $10.79K
- Potential profit
- $10.63K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$26.97
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $168.72
- Potential payout
- $10.23K
- Potential profit
- $10.06K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$25.55
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.81K
- Potential profit
- $9.81K
- User PnL
- -$229.99
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $555
- Potential payout
- $9.17K
- Potential profit
- $8.62K
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- $68.81
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $136.89
- Potential payout
- $8.83K
- Potential profit
- $8.69K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$57.4
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.76K
- Potential profit
- $7.76K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $540.26
- Potential payout
- $7.35K
- Potential profit
- $6.81K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$238.88
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $6.06K
- Potential profit
- $4.94K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $142.4
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $807.13
- Potential payout
- $5.91K
- Potential profit
- $5.11K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$168.52
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $380.74
- Potential payout
- $5.73K
- Potential profit
- $5.34K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$105.91
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $694.44
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $4.86K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$304.92
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $649.86
- Potential payout
- $5.53K
- Potential profit
- $4.88K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $163.16
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $54.86
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$41.59
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $11.6
- Potential payout
- $927.94
- Potential profit
- $916.35
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$88.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.77K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $352.97
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $215
Sara Saito position
ITF Takasaki: Yuriko Lily Miyazaki vs Sara Saito
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.01
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.83
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.63
Taisei Ichikawa position
ITF Gimcheon: Taisei Ichikawa vs Yun Seong Chung
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.4
Katy Dunne position
ITF Takasaki: Katy Dunne vs Raluca Georgiana Serban
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.88
Sofya Lansere position
ITF Takasaki: Mei Yamaguchi vs Sofya Lansere
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.89
Emma Raducanu position
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Diane Parry vs Emma Raducanu
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.85
Cristina Bucsa position
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Cristina Bucsa
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.85
Yufei Ren position
ITF Takasaki: Yufei Ren vs Rina Saigo
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.88
Lizette Cabrera position
ITF Takasaki: Sohyun Park vs Lizette Cabrera
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.79
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.4
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.76
Maria Kalyakina position
ITF Wuning: Alexandra Shubladze vs Maria Kalyakina
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.88
Tamara Korpatsch position
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara Korpatsch
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.4
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$57.01
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$68.63
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$69.16
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$70
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Thunder
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$97.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.6% 3,333.33 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 23,275.42 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.3% 31,033.9 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 13.5% 1,480.31 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 86.5% 229.09 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?Yes 12% 805 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Yes 8% 1,205.63 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 87.3% 229.1 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.6% 7,350.47 shares
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.1% 17,657.27 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.8% 5,530.68 shares