Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.91K
- Potential profit
- $505.62
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $486.54
Polymarket Trader
swapbox
0x43d57bd7ab0ef255e00bfcb52ab1f62d543f2e11
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.91K
- Realized PnL
- $9.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $558.28
- Potential payout
- $821
- Potential profit
- $262.72
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $36.41
No position
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $360.96
- Potential payout
- $752
- Potential profit
- $391.04
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$225.6
Yes position
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 59.3%
- Current value
- $379.79
- Potential payout
- $641
- Potential profit
- $261.21
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$100.96
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $140.97
- Potential payout
- $274
- Potential profit
- $133.03
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$10.28
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $7.02
- Potential payout
- $156
- Potential profit
- $148.98
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$14.82
No position
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 40.7%
- Current value
- $42.37
- Potential payout
- $104
- Potential profit
- $61.63
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- $15.43
Yes position
Stripe IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.19
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $45.82
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$4.65
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $5.43
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $21.57
- Multiplier
- 4.98x
- User PnL
- -$19.31
Yes position
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $1.81
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $10.19
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $3.83
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.36
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.97
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Rippling IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $578.96
Yes position
Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $572.02
No position
Will "War Machine" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $557.72
Yes position
Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $535.48
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 2PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495
Yes position
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-11?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $483.35
Yes position
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $466.75
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 4AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $459.59
Xavier Musketeers position
Xavier Musketeers vs. Clemson Tigers
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $413.01
Under position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $404.43
Yes position
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $381.3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.81
Yes position
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $342.84
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.41
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $320.63
Yes position
Will the number of US flights delayed on March 29 be less than 6,000?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.45
No position
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.12
Under position
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.14
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.65
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.2
Yes position
Will UpScrolled be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.9
Mid-America Christian Evangels position
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $242.28
Yes position
Will Friendship win Best First Screenplay at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $212.94
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?Yes 5% 26 shares
- Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 30% 826 shares
- Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?Yes 4% 248 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 171 shares
- Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during April press conference?Yes 60% 23 shares
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?No 67% 137 shares
- Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No 21% 1,036 shares
- Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No 28% 486 shares
- Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?No 87% 310 shares
- Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?No 87% 314 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 32% 243 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 32% 255 shares