Yes position
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $180.87K
- Potential profit
- $179.7K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $50.64
Polymarket Trader
ashash111
0x43e98f912cd6ddadaad88d3297e78c0648e688e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.25K
- Realized PnL
- $38.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $453.45
- Potential payout
- $100.77K
- Potential profit
- $100.31K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$54.01
Yes position
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $441.52
- Potential payout
- $98.12K
- Potential profit
- $97.67K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $49.06
Yes position
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $414.9
- Potential payout
- $92.2K
- Potential profit
- $91.78K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$48.59
Yes position
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $505.5
- Potential payout
- $91.91K
- Potential profit
- $91.4K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $45.95
Yes position
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $408.3
- Potential payout
- $90.73K
- Potential profit
- $90.33K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$45.37
Yes position
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $345.39
- Potential payout
- $76.75K
- Potential profit
- $76.41K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$40.83
Yes position
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $240.31
- Potential payout
- $68.66K
- Potential profit
- $68.42K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $34.33
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $189.53
- Potential payout
- $42.12K
- Potential profit
- $41.93K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $21.06
Yes position
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $79.33
- Potential payout
- $17.63K
- Potential profit
- $17.55K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$5.71
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $3K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- User PnL
- $187.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.61K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.17K
Yes position
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $2.23K
Yes position
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $2.06K
Yes position
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $995.84
Yes position
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $985.85
Yes position
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $973.66
Yes position
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $933.01
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $853.68
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $843.04
Yes position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $831.02
Yes position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $696.49
Yes position
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $695.85
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $674.53
Yes position
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $664.71
Yes position
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $657.82
Yes position
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $634.15
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $591.95
Yes position
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $546.74
Yes position
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $542.87
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $470.32
Yes position
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $454.31
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $447.02
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $440.98
Yes position
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $355.77
Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $338.13
Yes position
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $332.62
Yes position
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $328.49
Yes position
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $315.08
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $297
Yes position
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $293.43
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $286.82
Yes position
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $280.61
Yes position
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $278.01
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $276.34
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $249.97
Yes position
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $245.55
Yes position
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $236.39
Yes position
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $233.75
Yes position
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $227.47
Yes position
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $226.39
Yes position
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $221.09
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $210.01
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $197.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?Yes 6% 0.28 shares
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?Yes 6% 220.89 shares
- Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?Yes 0.5% 6,698.3 shares
- Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes 0.5% 63.64 shares
- Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes 0.5% 66.99 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes 2.7% 100 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes 2.5% 11,834.9 shares
- Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes 0.5% 124.44 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Yes 2.3% 3,028.55 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Yes 2.3% 245.43 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Yes 2.3% 1,742.9 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?No 5.5% 177.71 shares