Polymarket Trader

Edgar696

0x43efc5f0c3c271d2433289324d41bbbbbddb7d5a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $39.7
Realized PnL: $109.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $10.56
Potential payout: $29.76
Potential profit: $19.19
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $5.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $9.24
Potential payout: $28.89
Potential profit: $19.64
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $6.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $23.01
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $2.68
Potential payout: $24.36
Potential profit: $21.68
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $4.81
Potential payout: $21.85
Potential profit: $17.04
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $2.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.25
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $3.85
Potential payout: $7.48
Potential profit: $3.63
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.81
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 4?

Yes 18.4% 14.11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 4?

Yes 26% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 5?

Yes 11.9% 21.85 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 5?

Yes 9% 28.89 shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 4?

Yes 10% 26 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 4?

Yes 16.6% 15.65 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 4?

No 49% 5.31 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 5?

Yes 10.7% 24.36 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 4?

No 55% 1.82 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 4?

No 46% 2.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Up 1% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Up 1% 5 shares