Polymarket Trader

Efenbasi

0x43fb1a35ff3d8c05b25d5c5e07ea7e5b733704a1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.68
Realized PnL: $0.3
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $4.67
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $21.33
Multiplier: 5.57x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?

Ends Sep 14, 2026

Implied probability: 42.8%
Current value: $8.55
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.45
Multiplier: 2.34x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in July?

Ends Aug 5, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $4.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.7
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$4.7

No position

Will Mike Maignan win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $5.12
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $2.88
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$0.16

No position

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $4.82
Potential payout: $6.99
Potential profit: $2.17
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $4.59
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $1.41
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $1.17
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.03

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $3.8
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?

Yes 88% 6 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: July

Nothing 78% 5 shares
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?

Yes 83% 6 shares
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

No 73% 6.99 shares
Will Mike Maignan win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 66% 8 shares
Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

No 81% 6 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19% 26 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 80% 6 shares

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