Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $382
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.62K
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- $282
Polymarket Trader
Septen
@SeptenOnX
0x4405bfeeabfcab1445a4fa9503cbd85fcfe96a37
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.09K
- Realized PnL
- $2.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $564.21
- Potential payout
- $902.73
- Potential profit
- $338.52
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $64.21
No position
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $368.56
- Potential payout
- $421.21
- Potential profit
- $52.65
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $68.57
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $170.31
- Potential payout
- $291.12
- Potential profit
- $120.82
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$14.54
No position
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $159.99
- Potential payout
- $189.34
- Potential profit
- $29.35
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $65.32
No position
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $126.98
- Potential payout
- $180.12
- Potential profit
- $53.13
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $26.98
Yes position
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $106.47
- Potential payout
- $165.07
- Potential profit
- $58.6
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $6.47
Yes position
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $88.5
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $61.5
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$16.5
No position
Blue tsunami in 2026?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $86.62
- Potential payout
- $143.17
- Potential profit
- $56.55
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$13.38
Yes position
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.9%
- Current value
- $32.25
- Potential payout
- $83
- Potential profit
- $50.75
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $7.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.18
Yes position
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.06
Yes position
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.62
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.7
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.57
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.38
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.32
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.82
Yes position
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.89
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.43
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $86.43
No position
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.89
Yes position
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.8
Yes position
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.33
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.29
No position
US strike on Syria by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.84
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.76
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $42.17
Yes position
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.95
Yes position
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- $41.18
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.25
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.99
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $36.55
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 58% 431.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 471.7 shares
- Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Yes 84% 357.14 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes 99.1% 329.51 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes 88% 329.51 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 39% 263.15 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 38% 263.16 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 88% 1.14 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 88% 1.14 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 88% 1.14 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes 61.7% 175.12 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 41% 277.77 shares