Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Polymarket Trader
0x4452...7ae7
0x4452adc52b1fde911623020e4662b9d328c57ae7
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $1.47K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $907.18
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Under position
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $124.75
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $117
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.8
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.13
Yes position
Will Davinson Sánchez be in Colombia's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.39
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Over position
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Gustavo Puerta be in Colombia's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Oxuji Esports position
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Infinite (-3.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+3.5)
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Oxuji Esports position
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Infinite (-9.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+9.5)
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Oxuji Esports position
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Infinite (-6.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+6.5)
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Bitcoin above 77,400 on May 16, 9PM ET?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Under position
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Under position
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Vivian Wilson be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Natus Vincere position
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Over position
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Santiago Arias be in Colombia's Starting 11?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over 99.9% 250 shares
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Infinite (-3.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+3.5)Oxuji Esports 99.9% 250 shares
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Infinite (-6.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+6.5)Oxuji Esports 99.9% 250 shares
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Infinite (-9.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+9.5)Oxuji Esports 99.9% 250 shares
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over 99.9% 250 shares
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over 99.9% 24.9 shares
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5Over 0.1% 324.7 shares
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over 99.9% 300 shares
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over 99.9% 5 shares
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over 99.9% 1,655 shares
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over 99.8% 243 shares
- Will Diogo Dalot be in Portugal's Starting 11?Yes 22% 20 shares