Yes position
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $39.16
- Potential payout
- $559.47
- Potential profit
- $520.31
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$46.07
Polymarket Trader
auroramw
0x4459528a7ce1e974fdb2a4463e5c8fe94988c903
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $187.86
- Realized PnL
- $399.62
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $507.46
- Potential profit
- $507.46
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $304.35
- Potential profit
- $304.35
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $14.26
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $279.85
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$35.74
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $241.52
- Potential profit
- $241.52
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $36.41
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $142.16
- Multiplier
- 4.90x
- User PnL
- -$13.59
Yes position
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.77
- Potential profit
- $151.77
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $23.65
- Potential payout
- $115.38
- Potential profit
- $91.73
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $8.65
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.38
- Potential profit
- $115.38
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.79
- Potential profit
- $96.79
- User PnL
- -$36.78
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $25.76
- Potential payout
- $65.22
- Potential profit
- $39.46
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $10.76
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.52
- Potential profit
- $59.52
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.57
- Potential profit
- $34.57
- User PnL
- -$27.2
Yes position
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $31.75
- Potential payout
- $31.75
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $11.75
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $16.86
- Potential payout
- $29.85
- Potential profit
- $12.99
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$3.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes 78.7% 34.57 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 28% 178.57 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 42% 59.52 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes 18.1% 304.35 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 17% 294.12 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?Yes 26% 153.85 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?Yes 25.9% 385.77 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 38% 96.79 shares
- Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?Yes 63% 31.75 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes 8.3% 241.52 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 67% 29.85 shares
- US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes 13% 115.38 shares