Yes position
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $6.77
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$14.04
Polymarket Trader
0x4461...4280
0x446159f00ecc5219687bd71f8bb76b575aa34280
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $74.48
- Realized PnL
- -$97.16
- Win rate
- 20.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $9.98
- Potential payout
- $712.7
- Potential profit
- $702.72
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$8.96
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Current value
- $24.18
- Potential payout
- $139.43
- Potential profit
- $115.26
- Multiplier
- 5.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.9%
- Current value
- $24.23
- Potential payout
- $62.36
- Potential profit
- $38.13
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $9.33
- Potential payout
- $44.75
- Potential profit
- $35.42
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.18
No position
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.41
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.72
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.99
No position
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.63
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.3
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.88
Yes position
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.5% 6.62 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32.6% 3.07 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.5% 10.26 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.8% 15.96 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.1% 32.26 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32.6% 9.2 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.5% 20.51 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.8% 15.96 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6% 33.33 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32.6% 50.09 shares
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 160 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.7% 12.83 shares