needleladder

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $47.7
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $12.3
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $17.7

Yes position

Will Charlotte O’Hara win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.91
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$29.91

No position

Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $53.97
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $6.03
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $2.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $48
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $48
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $48
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $48
User PnL: -$1.85

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $24.65
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $6.36
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $18.39
Potential payout: $22.99
Potential profit: $4.6
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.5
Potential profit: $21.5
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.5
Potential profit: $21.5
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.5
Potential profit: $21.5
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.5
Potential profit: $21.5
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.5
Potential profit: $21.5
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.5
Potential profit: $21.5
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.5
Potential profit: $21.5
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.5
Potential profit: $21.5
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.5
Potential profit: $21.5
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.5
Potential profit: $21.5
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.5
Potential profit: $21.5
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.5
Potential profit: $21.5
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.5
Potential profit: $21.5
User PnL: -$0.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.24

No position

Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $35.55

No position

Will Charlotte O’Hara win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $28.28

No position

Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $28.28

No position

Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?

Implied probability: 37%
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $26.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: $11.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $10.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $9.87

No position

Will Ashlyn Krueger win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $9.7

No position

Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $9.7

No position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $9.67

No position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $9.67

No position

Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $9.59

No position

Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $9.59

No position

Will Phil Parrish win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $9.44

No position

Will Brad Kohler win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $9.44

No position

Will Marty Tuley win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $9.33

No position

Will Michael Minogue win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $9.33

No position

Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?