0x446496417FA4aFa5f22DCA38E339A882b536f94C-1771367487666

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $200.01
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.71
Potential profit: $159.71
User PnL: -$29.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.24
Potential profit: $76.24
User PnL: -$19.85

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.65
Potential profit: $66.65
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.31
Potential profit: $61.31
User PnL: -$10.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.98
Potential profit: $47.98
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.7
Potential profit: $43.7
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.38
Potential profit: $39.38
User PnL: -$19.69

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $8.4
Potential payout: $30.54
Potential profit: $22.14
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$1.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.74
Potential profit: $28.74
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.55
Potential profit: $25.55
User PnL: -$22.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.87
Potential profit: $23.87
User PnL: -$9.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$1.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.76
Potential profit: $18.76
User PnL: -$9.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.51
Potential profit: $17.51
User PnL: -$9.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.97
Potential profit: $14.97
User PnL: -$4.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.43
Potential profit: $13.43
User PnL: -$5.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.73
Potential profit: $12.73
User PnL: -$9.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.57
Potential profit: $12.57
User PnL: -$9.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.52

Yes position

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET