Polymarket Trader

ljjhjg

@MurphyRhon27776

0x446924ab2be885d0791b4c265da62a10890435f7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.71
Realized PnL: $97.18
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$94.6

Penguins position

Penguins vs. Maple Leafs

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.99
Potential profit: $13.99
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.35
Potential profit: $12.35
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.32
Potential profit: $11.32
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 9AM ET

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.41

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.55
Potential profit: $8.55
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.48
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $4.29
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$2

OG position

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.51
Potential profit: $3.51
User PnL: -$2

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.39
Potential profit: $3.39
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $60 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.63
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$1.85

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.7
User PnL: -$2

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $2.09
Potential payout: $2.18
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $2.02
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $1.37
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3
Potential profit: $1.3
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 9AM ET

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8AM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

No position

Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 81% 12.35 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 48% 10.42 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 53% 11.32 shares
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?

Yes 71.9% 2.78 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Yes 65% 1.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5?

Down 91% 2.2 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 74% 2.7 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 77% 2.6 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 86% 5.81 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 86.6% 3.46 shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

No 98.8% 2.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?

Down 92% 1.09 shares