Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $134.08
- Potential payout
- $155
- Potential profit
- $20.93
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$5.43
Polymarket Trader
0x4479aF8870FD2a31F819a1AA693c0bd5d79cc8FB-1781505508291
0x4479af8870fd2a31f819a1aa693c0bd5d79cc8fb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $135.05
- Realized PnL
- $49.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $5.05
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- Multiplier
- 5.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $23.71
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $18.52
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $5.92
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 69% 43.48 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 61% 3.87 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 18% 0.33 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 54% 185.19 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 62% 3.22 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 69% 36.8 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 74% 36.25 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 67.9% 147.33 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 81% 137.68 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 62% 3.23 shares