Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.3%
- Current value
- $19.05
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $114.28
- Multiplier
- 7.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Polymarket Trader
0x448f3d212ccFd6992750D11b078530d8c3a1cbe1-1781786794883
0x448f3d212ccfd6992750d11b078530d8c3a1cbe1
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $185.14
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $129.2
- Potential profit
- $124.1
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $11.33
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $55.33
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $3.67
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $63
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$6.33
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $41.18
- Potential payout
- $54.55
- Potential profit
- $13.36
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $11.18
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $9.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $40.25
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $40.5
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $19.91
- Potential payout
- $37.22
- Potential profit
- $17.31
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $9.06
- Potential payout
- $33.55
- Potential profit
- $24.49
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
No position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.8%
- Current value
- $5.7
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $18.3
- Multiplier
- 4.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $9.88
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $13.93
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $12.73
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.1%
- Current value
- $10.36
- Potential payout
- $19.16
- Potential profit
- $8.79
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $18.87
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $16.39
- Potential profit
- $6.39
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $10.63
- Potential payout
- $14.08
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 25% 24 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 55% 54.55 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 15% 66.67 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 53.7% 37.22 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Yes 15% 133.33 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 42% 23.81 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No 20% 50 shares
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No 29.8% 33.55 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 71% 14.08 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.7% 129.2 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 52.2% 19.16 shares