No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $66.02
- Potential payout
- $145.09
- Potential profit
- $79.07
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$25.98
Polymarket Trader
Horse-Slapper
0x449b989ce56e1a83eaeede1ff3281c327f6f57be
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $66.02
- Realized PnL
- -$100.1
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 39%
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $25.62
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$67.26
No position
ECB rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$72.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 1.3% 448.35 shares
- ECB rate hike in 2026?No 0.2% 653 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 19.2% 8 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 19% 17 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 18.7% 43.59 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 17.7% 65.02 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 17% 90 shares
- ECB rate hike in 2026?No 15% 347 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 66% 68.66 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 14% 113.5 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 13.7% 66.5 shares
- ECB rate hike in 2026?No 6% 10.89 shares