Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $2.33K
- Potential payout
- $4.91K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $103.6
Polymarket Trader
yoyo753
0x449f9793e3c3f1af12203c96f078d4db9719913b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.36K
- Realized PnL
- $18.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$40.19
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $28.98
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $201.02
- Multiplier
- 7.94x
- User PnL
- -$12.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02K
No position
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
Yes position
Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $950.72
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $657.32
No position
Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $640.99
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $577.91
Yes position
Will Atlético Madrid beat Bayer Leverkusen?
Ends Jan 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $528.36
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $484.53
No position
Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $455.19
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400.08
No position
Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.57
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $345
Yes position
Will the State of the Union be 100 minutes or longer?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.56
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.59
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $296.06
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.7
No position
Trump declassifies Diddy list?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.55
No position
Will Ross Ulbricht go on Joe Rogan before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.15
No position
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.48
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.22
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 80% 400 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 50% 400 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 55% 2,439.76 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.2% 1,487.27 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 88.4% 1,487.27 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No 77.5% 314.2 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 28% 23.78 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 47% 638.3 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 8% 500 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No 66% 405.6 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 89.8% 43.76 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 17.9% 200 shares