Polymarket Trader

Nostrafakus

0x44a0152818fcf1aca60f70fb822774d27adf76e5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $206.35
Realized PnL: $2.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Nemesis" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $417.42
Potential profit: $417.42
User PnL: -$22.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.07
Potential profit: $208.07
User PnL: -$159.28

No position

Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$117.43

Yes position

Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $7.89
Potential payout: $131.53
Potential profit: $123.64
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$2.61

No position

Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$55

No position

Tucker Carlson federally charged?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $67.52
Potential payout: $68.1
Potential profit: $0.58
User PnL: $6.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.34
Potential profit: $66.34
User PnL: -$60.64

No position

Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 73.8%
Current value: $36.88
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $13.13
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$12.13

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 14-20?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will "Shrill: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 72.8%
Current value: $36.4
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $13.6
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$12.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$1

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump praise Weijia Jiang by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $40.4
Potential payout: $48.67
Potential profit: $8.27
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $39.99
User PnL: -$18.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$23.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.53
Potential profit: $24.53
User PnL: -$1.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.39
Potential profit: $23.39
User PnL: -$11.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$17.39

No position

Will "The Boroughs" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $17.27
Potential payout: $17.39
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.34
Potential profit: $15.34
User PnL: -$2.61

Yes position

Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.02
Potential profit: $10.02
User PnL: -$0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will "Beauty in Black: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.78

Yes position

Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.35

No position

Will "War Machine" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.65

No position

Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.66

No position

Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.85

Yes position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.8

No position

Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.92

No position

Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.05

No position

Will "My Secret Santa" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 23, 2025)

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.67

Yes position

Will "War Machine" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.06

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.9

No position

Will "Unchosen" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.23

No position

Will "Prometheus" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.79

No position

Will "BEEF: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.07

No position

Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.5

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.1

No position

Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.08

Yes position

Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.84

Yes position

Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.73

Yes position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.15

No position

US strike on Cuba by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 57°F or below on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.06

Yes position

Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Yes 7.8% 109.53 shares
Will "Shrill: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

No 98% 50 shares
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

No 98% 50 shares
Will "Tony H.: Man of the People" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

No 97% 50 shares
Will "GOAT" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

No 98% 110 shares
Will "David" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

No 98% 135 shares
Will "The Murder of Rachel Nickell" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Yes 0.3% 52.75 shares
Will "Ladies First" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Yes 0.6% 30 shares
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Yes 99.5% 189.02 shares
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Yes 99.3% 143.42 shares
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Yes 99.2% 99.83 shares
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Yes 99% 191.45 shares