Polymarket Trader

0x44vanz

0x44a08c836c70fdf0cf38b6b89dda77b0e452c3b9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $44.13K
Realized PnL: $73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.41K
Potential profit: $99.41K
User PnL: -$7.43K

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.7%
Current value: $33.8K
Potential payout: $37.69K
Potential profit: $3.88K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $786.32

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.04K
Potential profit: $20.04K
User PnL: -$2.01K

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.7K
Potential profit: $18.7K
User PnL: -$768.59

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64K
Potential profit: $10.64K
User PnL: -$277.83

Yes position

Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.41K
Potential profit: $9.41K
User PnL: -$58.29

Celtics position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.9K
Potential profit: $7.9K
User PnL: -$2.72K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.93K
Potential profit: $6.93K
User PnL: -$3.69K

No position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 91.9%
Current value: $6.11K
Potential payout: $6.65K
Potential profit: $541.86
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $106.73

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $1.48K
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $2.42K
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$184.85

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $2.74K
Potential payout: $3.4K
Potential profit: $663
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$85

Yes position

Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.15K
Potential profit: $3.15K
User PnL: -$186.84

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.98K
Potential profit: $2.98K
User PnL: -$238.94

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Jazz

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
User PnL: -$2.03K

76ers position

Nets vs. 76ers

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $2.31K
User PnL: -$1.8K

Yes position

Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$738.94

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$479.7

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Pelicans

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$1.26K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$428

76ers position

Nuggets vs. 76ers

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$1.05K

Hawks position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$200

Wizards position

Celtics vs. Wizards

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$205

Knicks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$420

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Thunder

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$90

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $12.88K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.57K

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.79K

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Open Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9K

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.44K

Nuggets position

Clippers vs. Nuggets

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.78K

Twolves position

NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Warriors (To Advance)

Ends May 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6K

Yes position

NBA Playoffs 1st Round: Less than 3 upsets?

Ends May 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54K

Miami position

Notre Dame vs. Miami

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69K

Kennesaw State position

Arkansas State vs. Kennesaw State

Ends Sep 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Coastal Carolina position

Coastal Carolina vs. South Alabama

Ends Sep 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Mississippi State position

Arizona State vs. Mississippi State

Ends Sep 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

Pacers position

NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Bucks (To Advance)

Ends May 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

LSU position

LSU vs. Clemson

Ends Sep 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Oregon position

Oregon vs. Penn State

Ends Sep 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Memphis position

Arkansas vs. Memphis

Ends Sep 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Old Dominion position

Old Dominion vs. Virginia Tech

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $961.39

Tulsa position

Tulsa vs. Oklahoma State

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $940.1

Chargers position

Chargers vs. Cowboys

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $940

Chargers position

Chiefs vs. Chargers

Ends Sep 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $915

Georgia Tech position

Clemson vs. Georgia Tech

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $897

Nuggets position

Clippers vs. Nuggets

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $873.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

No 83% 3,400 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 99.1% 2,883.2 shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 87.9% 10,585.3 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 99.2% 9,636.36 shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 87.5% 23,574.87 shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 87.4% 2,780.69 shares
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 90.2% 6,648.58 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 45.4% 528.92 shares
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 96% 68 shares
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 96% 2,604.87 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 97% 11,480.5 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 30.4% 226.47 shares