Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.8%
- Current value
- $453.12
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- Multiplier
- 4.60x
- User PnL
- $203.13
Polymarket Trader
mbet
0x44b39050013913ac3b442fa3df29e580721ade01
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.27K
- Realized PnL
- $4.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Ends Oct 24, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $505.32
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $558.51
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $5.32
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $952.38
- Potential profit
- $952.38
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $266.33
- Potential payout
- $612.24
- Potential profit
- $345.92
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$33.67
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $526.32
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $435.22
- Potential profit
- $435.22
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.75
- Potential profit
- $333.75
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $234.76
- Potential profit
- $234.76
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
GPT ads by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.61
- Potential profit
- $223.61
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $208.33
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.16
- Potential profit
- $135.16
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.66
- Potential profit
- $128.66
- User PnL
- -$12.91
No position
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Ends Oct 24, 2027- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $41.85
- Potential payout
- $72.78
- Potential profit
- $30.93
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$8.15
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 30 2025 or later?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.85
- Potential profit
- $50.85
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.48
Yes position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.87
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.8
Yes position
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.74
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
No position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $209.3
No position
$BTC dips below $50k before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.6
Yes position
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 16?
Ends Aug 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $112
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
$4000 position
Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.46
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris say "Ukraine" during DNC speech?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.55
No position
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.82
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Brazil unban X before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.97
No position
Will Circle IPO in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.9
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.8
No position
Trump in jail before election day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.89
No position
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 16?
Ends Aug 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.69
No position
Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 23?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 18?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
No position
Will Elon tweet between 60-79 times?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No 68.7% 72.78 shares
- Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes 47% 1,063.83 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 79% 581.39 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 21% 952.38 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 24% 104.17 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes 13% 769.23 shares
- Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No 30% 333.75 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 24% 104.17 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 11.9% 1,008.61 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 49% 612.24 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 42.6% 234.76 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes 14% 714.29 shares