Polymarket Trader

0x44c08bbFD779E97f9415546F66Ca682E474866f8-1780596331210

0x44c08bbfd779e97f9415546f66ca682e474866f8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $24.33
Realized PnL: $2.78
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Starmer out by August 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.88
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.88

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $2.71
Potential payout: $19.38
Potential profit: $16.66
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $15.64
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0.55

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $9.75
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $9.88
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.26
Potential profit: $10.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $7.67
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $6.73
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $5.17
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Trump praise Dana White by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $3.75
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.8%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $3.53
Potential profit: $2.66
Multiplier: 4.04x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Serena Williams Play at Wimbledon 2026?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.17
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

No position

Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.09
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 9-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $0.68
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

No position

Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 34% 2.94 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

No 15.5% 19.38 shares
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?

No 8% 25 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

No 0.1% 1,000 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

No 69% 1.45 shares
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?

No 57% 3.12 shares
Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?

No 91.1% 2.7 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 58% 5.17 shares
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?

No 32% 3.13 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 95.5% 1.61 shares
Will Serena Williams Play at Wimbledon 2026?

No 30% 3.33 shares