Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $15.44
- Potential payout
- $193
- Potential profit
- $177.56
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
kellie708eve
0x44cd5e6c822a7f68bdbdc54d8d843500f7a551d8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.44
- Realized PnL
- $92.77
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.5
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.48
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.34
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.55
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Multiplier
- 9.90x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 193 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 25% 127 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes 11.4% 256 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes 11.3% 182 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes 11.4% 251 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 84% 10 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 84% 93 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 7.2% 83 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 28% 186 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 85% 115 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 85% 115 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 10% 83 shares