No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $14.81
- Potential payout
- $75.95
- Potential profit
- $61.14
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Polymarket Trader
AdamR8
0x44f010af0a11682ca8ac82476300f91b1daca511
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.48
- Realized PnL
- $2.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $5.82
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $53
- Multiplier
- 10.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.6%
- Current value
- $11.11
- Potential payout
- $19.31
- Potential profit
- $8.2
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.9%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $11.52
- Potential profit
- $2.77
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $4.48
- Potential payout
- $7.94
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?Yes 4% 25 shares
- Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes 81% 4.05 shares
- Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes 74% 4.05 shares
- Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 78.1% 11.52 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No 63% 7.94 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 10.2% 58.82 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes 62.1% 19.31 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No 19.7% 75.95 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 2?No 67% 15.68 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 2?No 51% 15.69 shares