Polymarket Trader

quiteimprobable

0x44fd6c291a43287728329b9b59c0a75c02c9b634

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.54K
Realized PnL: $941.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.43K
Potential profit: $43.43K
User PnL: -$4.32K

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $445.73
Potential payout: $8.1K
Potential profit: $7.66K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$2.23K

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $1.77K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $3.22K
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$1.36K

Diana Shnaider position

Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82K
Potential profit: $2.82K
User PnL: -$1.79K

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $321
Potential payout: $879.45
Potential profit: $558.45
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$65.96

Yes position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $108.31
Potential profit: $108.04
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Duke Blue Devils position

St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200K

Over position

Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.01K

Wild position

Wild vs. Panthers

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.08K

Joe Pyfer position

UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.8K

Seattle Redhawks position

St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Seattle Redhawks

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.31K

Flames position

Panthers vs. Flames

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.4K

Islanders position

Islanders vs. Sharks

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.71K

Piera Rodriguez position

UFC Fight Night: Sam Hughes vs. Piera Rodriguez (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.25K

Green position

UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.91K

Perez position

UFC Fight Night: Macy Chiasson vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.81K

Ruffy position

UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.21K

Stars position

Blackhawks vs. Stars

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.37K

Casey ONeill position

UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.74K

Michigan Wolverines position

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.52K

Over position

Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.09K

Dayton Flyers position

Bradley Braves vs. Dayton Flyers

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.99K

Kraken position

Panthers vs. Kraken

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.06K

Kavanagh position

UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.45K

Wiklacz position

UFC Fight Night: Muin Gafurov vs. Jakub Wiklacz (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.13K

Charles Johnson position

UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.34K

Martinez position

UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.99K

Pereira position

UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89K

Nakamura position

UFC 325: Sebastian Szalay vs. Keiichiro Nakamura (Featherweight, Early Prelims)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.41K

Saint Denis position

UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.22K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska

Diana Shnaider 64% 1,200 shares
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska

Diana Shnaider 63% 1,615 shares
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)

Pelicans 53% 2,003.73 shares
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)

Pelicans 53% 2,647.55 shares
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)

Pelicans 52% 20.84 shares
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)

Pelicans 53% 28,004.76 shares
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)

Terrance McKinney 63% 8,000 shares
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)

Joe Pyfer 44% 77,746.27 shares
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Iowa State Cyclones 59% 89,619.01 shares
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils 72% 72,379.52 shares
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils 72% 283,502.48 shares
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils 72% 355,882 shares