Polymarket Trader

itsr1p

0x4508281d69ddf85b1f2c566a215b239a40d75ef4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $314.5
Realized PnL: $30.15
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

NRG position

Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $398.06
Potential profit: $398.06
User PnL: -$186.89

No position

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 79.9%
Current value: $314.5
Potential payout: $393.61
Potential profit: $79.12
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$0.97

G2 Esports position

Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $382.98
Potential profit: $382.98
User PnL: -$180

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$8.75

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$22

Paper Rex position

Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.63
Potential profit: $90.63
User PnL: -$14

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.7
Potential profit: $50.7
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.08
Potential profit: $37.08
User PnL: -$13

Minaur position

Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Minaur (+2.5)

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $31
User PnL: -$15.5

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.25
Potential profit: $11.25
User PnL: -$9

Minaur position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $9.52
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Leviatán Esports position

Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.98

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.19

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $5.94

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.6%
Multiplier: 7.38x
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$3.66

Heat position

Spread: Heat (-6.5)

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.73

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.81

Yes position

Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

No 78.6% 337.75 shares
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

No 89.5% 55.87 shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

No 91% 50.55 shares
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Paper Rex 2% 50 shares
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Paper Rex 32% 40.63 shares
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Leviatán Esports 20% 128.5 shares
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs

NRG 46.9% 398.06 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 89.7% 208.06 shares
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs

G2 Esports 47% 382.98 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 89.2% 199.89 shares
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

No 80% 11.25 shares
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Djokovic 22% 100 shares