Oskoreiter

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $7.2
User PnL: $119.8

Yes position

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $748.58
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $719.22
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $218.51

Yes position

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $125.62
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 11.17x
User PnL: -$748.54

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $399.08
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $795.76
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $63.13

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$43.64

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $51.6
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$86.82

Yes position

Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $160.88
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $948.64
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $7.22

Yes position

Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $639.22
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $391.78
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $139.74

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $934.99
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $65
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $63.89

Yes position

Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $147.47
Potential payout: $973.41
Potential profit: $825.94
Multiplier: 6.60x
User PnL: $81.64

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≥4.1% in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $799.66
Potential profit: $799.66
User PnL: -$38.23

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–2.25 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $689.69
Potential profit: $689.69
User PnL: -$185.83

Yes position

Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $660.86
Potential profit: $660.86
User PnL: -$236.56

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $656.55
Potential profit: $656.55
User PnL: -$127.74

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $602.63
Potential profit: $602.63
User PnL: -$96.19

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $435
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $165
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $407.64
Potential payout: $539.92
Potential profit: $132.28
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$42.55

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $517.87
Potential profit: $517.87
User PnL: -$143.44

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $12.25
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $487.74
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$12.75

Yes position

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.98
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $472.41
Potential profit: $472.41
User PnL: -$270

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $414.38
Potential profit: $414.38
User PnL: -$38.23

No position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $407.25
Potential profit: $407.25
User PnL: -$68.37

Yes position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $329.99
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $70
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $901.15

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 81.6%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $677.21

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $601.52

Yes position

Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $571.59

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $550.13

Yes position

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $414.39

Yes position

Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.6

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.74

Yes position

Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.33

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.8

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.87

No position

Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.56

No position

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.45

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.4

No position

Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.13

Yes position

Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.68

No position

Will gas hit (Low) $4.25 by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.62

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.25

Up position

Gold (GC) Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.86

No position

Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.84

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $117.2

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.18

No position

Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?