Polymarket Trader

hepan

0x4532bf0e04b5bded4014e8e2f1c3c86c2ff9c7a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.85
Realized PnL: $22.98
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $6.7
Potential payout: $6.95
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.7%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $3.38
Potential profit: $2.24
Multiplier: 2.97x
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $3.17
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0

Under position

Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $1.64
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

No position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Colombia position

Spread: Colombia (-1.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

France position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Over position

Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Jordan position

Spread: Argentina (-3.5)

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Under position

Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Iraq position

Spread: France (-3.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5

Under 61% 1.64 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Over 59% 1.69 shares
France to score first vs. Paraguay?

Yes 82% 1.22 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

France 93% 1.08 shares
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 94.7% 3.17 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

No 70% 1.43 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

No 4% 1.72 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

No 58% 1.72 shares
Spread: France (-1.5)

France 54% 1.85 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 28.6% 2.5 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

No 81% 1.23 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 4.1% 14 shares