Polymarket Trader

0x45330e822A592ad27092fE4a69D693Bbbef3ad80-1733906850157

0x45330e822a592ad27092fe4a69d693bbbef3ad80

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.24
Realized PnL: $543.9
Win rate: 93.8%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Cuomo x Mamdani debate before election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Jimmy Kimmel cancelled by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.46
Potential profit: $2.46
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.89
User PnL: -$1

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: MrBeast Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $1.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.16

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $1.05
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 16 above $20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Keir Starmer in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Rockets position

Warriors vs. Rockets

Ends Dec 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $506

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $4,100.00 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

No position

Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11

No position

Bitcoin all time high by July 25?

Ends Jul 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Canada recession in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (September 15-21)

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fifth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump talk to Keir Starmer in February?

Yes 99.9% 1 shares
Will the US strike Somalia next?

Yes 86% 1.16 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 18?

Up 94% 1.06 shares
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 16 above $20?

Yes 99.8% 1 shares
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Yes 99.6% 1 shares
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fifth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Yes 98.7% 1.01 shares
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 92.5% 1.08 shares
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?

Yes 95% 1.05 shares
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 85% 1.18 shares
Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?

Yes 89% 1.12 shares
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 93% 1.08 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: MrBeast Edition

No 54% 1.85 shares