LilSmits

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $50.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $9.9
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.79
Potential payout: $47
Potential profit: $45.21
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.6%
Current value: $39.29
Potential payout: $47
Potential profit: $7.71
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $46.76
Potential profit: $44.93
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $41.66
Potential profit: $40.14
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $41.5
Potential profit: $40.03
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.06
Potential payout: $41.1
Potential profit: $38.04
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $41.09
Potential profit: $38.34
Multiplier: 14.93x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $33.4
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $21.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $18.4
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $8.84
Potential payout: $33.36
Potential profit: $24.52
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $11.64
Potential payout: $26.76
Potential profit: $15.12
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $12.08
Potential payout: $26.25
Potential profit: $14.18
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $2.77

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $7.85
Potential payout: $20.67
Potential profit: $12.81
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will the announcers say "Visa" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$16.1

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Netherlands vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $12.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $7.7
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $4.1

No position

Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $12.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $7.6
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Netherlands vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.7
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Rory McIlroy lead the 2026 U.S. Open following the second round?

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $19.35
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will the announcers say "Comeback / Come Back" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.2
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$11

No position

Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $17.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2.9
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $11.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $8.2
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will the announcers say "Verizon" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $18.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1.6
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $985.72

Storm Hunter position

HSBC Championships, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.61

Frances Tiafoe position

Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.45

Washington Nationals position

Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.22

Joao Fonseca position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.92

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.44

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.45

No position

Will South Africa win on 2026-05-29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.33

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.52

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.13

Katie Volynets position

Libema Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Lin Zhu

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.62

Yes position

Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.22

Yes position

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.18

Boston Red Sox position

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.47

Yes position

Will Córdoba CF vs. SD Huesca end in a draw?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.18

Tatjana Maria position

HSBC Championships, Qualification: Tatjana Maria vs Yuriko Miyazaki

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.14

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.3

Down position

XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET