Polymarket Trader

duwrt

0x454c7347fb5af64e95cc2a24b5c3edf7d484b413

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $402.75
Realized PnL: $129.57
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $262.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $37.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $34.5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.7%
Current value: $43.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $156.7
Multiplier: 4.62x
User PnL: $7.3

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $179.5
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $36.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $163.1
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $11.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $188.7
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$7.1

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $24.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $175.5
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.25
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$19.25

Up position

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74

No position

Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $11.5

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.02

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

No position

Will Solana reach $290 in August?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will Solana dip to $80 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Up position

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.6%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Illinois Fighting Illini position

Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Loose Ball" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 44% 20 shares
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 11% 50 shares
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?

No 24% 20 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 3.5% 5.36 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

No 97.1% 20 shares
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

Yes 88% 50 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 6.8% 44.64 shares
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?

No 7.3% 50 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 61.1% 20 shares
Will the announcers say "History" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

No 22% 20 shares
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 10% 20 shares
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?

No 35% 20 shares