No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $3.79K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $16.21K
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- -$15.17K
Polymarket Trader
StonkFarmer
0x454eb47f75d726ff6f2320880f04d2e0b72462b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.19K
- Realized PnL
- $9.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.4%
- Current value
- $13.5K
- Potential payout
- $16K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.63K
No position
Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $9.85K
- Potential payout
- $10.36K
- Potential profit
- $512.82
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $112.79
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.7%
- Current value
- $236.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $763.5
- Multiplier
- 4.23x
- User PnL
- -$83.5
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $542.46
- Potential payout
- $569.21
- Potential profit
- $26.75
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $70.01
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $265.2
- Potential payout
- $299.66
- Potential profit
- $34.46
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08K
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $970.32
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $690.02
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- $414.61
Yes position
Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360
Yes position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.53
No position
Will Tesla dip to $308 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $249
No position
Will Tesla reach $578 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 39-40°F on December 2?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on December 2?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.17
No position
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.03
No position
Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.5
No position
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on December 8?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 43°F or higher on December 2?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.47
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on December 3?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on December 7?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.07
No position
Will One Battle After Another be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $105.74
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran Play in the World Cup?Yes 99% 1,686.03 shares
- Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94% 2,080 shares
- Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94% 2,140 shares
- Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94% 6,140 shares
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Yes 10.1% 100 shares
- Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes 95% 500 shares
- Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes 18% 30 shares
- Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes 76% 193.6 shares
- Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes 18% 500 shares
- Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes 76% 838.5 shares
- Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes 23% 511.7 shares
- Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes 17% 193.6 shares