Polymarket Trader

Nowhere-Man

0x45580feac3b916a88b7513929e26f86b3adea2b3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.46K
Realized PnL: $663.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $3.35K
Potential payout: $3.37K
Potential profit: $18.55
User PnL: $152.31

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $3.1K
User PnL: -$1.87K

Yes position

Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
User PnL: -$67.32

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$62.47

Yes position

Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$58.79

Yes position

Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$56.77

Yes position

Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$48.74

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $968.13
Potential profit: $968.13
User PnL: -$561.51

Yes position

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $849.38
Potential profit: $849.38
User PnL: -$38.9

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $849.37
Potential profit: $849.37
User PnL: -$38.9

Yes position

Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $849.37
Potential profit: $849.37
User PnL: -$38.9

Yes position

Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $849.37
Potential profit: $849.37
User PnL: -$38.9

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $849.37
Potential profit: $849.37
User PnL: -$38.9

Yes position

Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $849.37
Potential profit: $849.37
User PnL: -$38.9

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $845.17
Potential profit: $845.17
User PnL: -$38.71

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $108.13
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $16.88
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $14.38

No position

Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$9.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.27K

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.96K

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.14K

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.4K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.37K

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.85K

No position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.52K

Yes position

Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.52K

No position

Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.27K

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in February 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.12K

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.79K

No position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.64K

No position

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.49K

Yes position

Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.46K

No position

Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.47K

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.47K

Yes position

Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.94K

No position

Will Mark Carney lose his seat?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.48K

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.98K

Yes position

Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.57K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.15K

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86K

Yes position

Was JFK assassinated by a foreign government?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.73K

Yes position

Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?

Ends Apr 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.39K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 75% 125 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.6% 1,867 shares
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?

No 99% 5 shares
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?

No 98.5% 350.62 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Yes 60% 531.85 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

No 60.7% 2,000 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

No 60% 100 shares
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

No 92% 1,573.21 shares
Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?

No 97.1% 51 shares
US forces in Yemen in 2025?

No 97.6% 16 shares
Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?

Yes 0.1% 849.36 shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?

Yes 0.7% 669.36 shares