Polymarket Trader

stevepe

0x45650f5b6876499eb725d9c244422aa7deef6527

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $289.17
Realized PnL: $162.67
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $44.49
Potential payout: $847.46
Potential profit: $802.97
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$5.51

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $491.25
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$6.25

No position

Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $105.28
Potential payout: $277.05
Potential profit: $171.77
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$52.5

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $75.15
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $10.04
Potential payout: $72.46
Potential profit: $62.43
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Ghana?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $9.64
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $61.79
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $44.2
Potential payout: $70.67
Potential profit: $26.47
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $25.21
Potential payout: $67.23
Potential profit: $42.02
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $15.21

Yes position

Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $9.06
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $53.44
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $10.92
Potential payout: $55.28
Potential profit: $44.36
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $26.96
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $11.06
Potential payout: $35.12
Potential profit: $24.06
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$8.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.95

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.93

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.32

No position

UFC Freedom 250: Weather Delay?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.35

Yes position

UFC Freedom 250: Weather Delay?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Yes position

Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.31

Yes position

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $4.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Brazil position

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Canada position

Spread: Canada (-1.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.97

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will Player 172 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 62.7% 70.67 shares
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 4% 125 shares
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 8% 125 shares
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 54% 46.87 shares
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 32% 46.88 shares
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?

Yes 32% 31.25 shares
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Iraq?

Yes 26% 19.23 shares
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Iraq?

Yes 15% 100 shares
Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?

No 61.9% 161.49 shares
Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?

No 50% 115.56 shares
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Yes 71.4% 83.05 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 3.9% 76.92 shares