No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
ZestKulak
@GioroG1ovanna
0x456fb14c62c1fae3eca7cf75bdb9bb4c607898d5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $279.95
- Realized PnL
- $1.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $146.87
- Potential payout
- $224.22
- Potential profit
- $77.36
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $46.87
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $133.09
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $13.97
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $33.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.05
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $153.96
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.2
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.05
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.84
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.65
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.06
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.79
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.67
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 44.6% 224.22 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 68% 147.06 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 91.5% 241.2 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 70% 241.2 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 53.5% 168.29 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 78% 92.81 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 9% 344.82 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 23% 178.57 shares
- Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Yes 0.1% 521.1 shares
- Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Yes 11.4% 521.1 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?Yes 5.4% 261.63 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?No 13.2% 307.44 shares