No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $3.1
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $0.95
Polymarket Trader
alpha133735.joshua.harper
0x457652ce720a27c59a1cc847da0da2b4fdd10d9a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.48
- Realized PnL
- $7.24
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.38
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $4.1
- Potential profit
- $3.26
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $3.25
- Potential profit
- $2.71
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes 40% 3.25 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?No 43% 5 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 59% 2.71 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 48% 4.38 shares
- Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?No 60% 5 shares
- Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No 52% 5 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 39% 4.1 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes 56% 3.86 shares