Yes position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $82.73
- Potential profit
- $82.4
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.77
Polymarket Trader
0x4577...4f1b
0x4577f79a0c67134dea27a61f0b08676bd0044f1b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $45.52
- Realized PnL
- -$19.03
- Win rate
- 22.7%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $4.45
- Potential payout
- $52.37
- Potential profit
- $47.92
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $43.5
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$3.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $40.02
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$3.35
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $39.8
- Potential profit
- $34.82
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.98
OpenAI position
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $2.48
- Potential payout
- $33.28
- Potential profit
- $30.8
- Multiplier
- 13.42x
- User PnL
- -$7.47
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.7%
- Current value
- $8.07
- Potential payout
- $27.2
- Potential profit
- $19.14
- Multiplier
- 3.37x
- User PnL
- $3.07
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $17.75
- Potential profit
- $15.89
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$3.14
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $14.52
- Potential payout
- $16.31
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $4.57
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $5.24
- Potential payout
- $14.76
- Potential profit
- $9.52
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.27
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 8AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.54
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.92
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Yes 35% 7.26 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 45.45 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Yes 19.2% 15.21 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Yes 63% 7.94 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Yes 19% 24.58 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?Yes 38% 8.21 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes 24.6% 8.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes 28.8% 6.94 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 42% 14.76 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 61% 16.31 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 25% 39.8 shares
- Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No 1.6% 125 shares