Polymarket Trader

Balilti

0x457ebd44773d8ecfd318736de0d2e72e9aca1294

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.48K
Realized PnL: $1.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $165.46
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $273.35

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $706.9
Potential profit: $706.9
User PnL: -$205

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.75
Potential profit: $318.75
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $172.41
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.7%
Current value: $59.6
Potential payout: $167.18
Potential profit: $107.58
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $47.48
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $119.18
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 62.1%
Current value: $99.92
Potential payout: $161.03
Potential profit: $61.11
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$0.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.39

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $431.71

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.66

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.16

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.86

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.33

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.92

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 62.1% 161.03 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 69.5% 1,438.81 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 75% 411.43 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 51% 980.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Up 1% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Up 4% 125 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Up 4% 125 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Down 2% 250 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Down 7.3% 68.75 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 58% 172.41 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 30% 166.67 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 64% 156.25 shares