No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $177.51
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$14.5
Polymarket Trader
88888stupidmoney
0x458c5bfd9bff538f98216a67b156832e7486c504
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.13K
- Realized PnL
- $788.97
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $168
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $32
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $151
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $49
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$27
No position
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $172.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $27.1
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $183
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $17
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.16
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $181
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $172
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $28
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$6.15
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $179
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $21
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $174.99
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $187.39
- Potential payout
- $199.56
- Potential profit
- $12.17
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.12
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $178.11
- Potential payout
- $199
- Potential profit
- $20.9
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $141.83
- Potential payout
- $179.53
- Potential profit
- $37.7
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$12.57
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $134.94
- Potential payout
- $166.59
- Potential profit
- $31.65
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$6.83
No position
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $115.57
- Potential payout
- $127
- Potential profit
- $11.43
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $95.52
- Potential payout
- $100.02
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.8%
- Current value
- $91.8
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $8.2
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $95.3
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.7
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $94.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $48.5
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $51.49
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$36.5
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $85.88
- Potential payout
- $99.86
- Potential profit
- $13.98
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
N
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $54.92
- Potential payout
- $99.86
- Potential profit
- $44.94
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$29.96
No position
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $93.64
- Potential payout
- $99.57
- Potential profit
- $5.92
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $93.76
- Potential payout
- $99.01
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $55.16
- Potential payout
- $59.63
- Potential profit
- $4.47
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.33
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.52
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.91
No position
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.23
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.39
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.1
No position
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.87
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.43
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.12
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.51
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.48
No position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.9
No position
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.39
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.06
No position
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.08
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.89
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.9
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.71
No position
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.37
No position
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.05
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Solana reach $100 in June?No 99% 50 shares
- Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?No 98.1% 50 shares
- Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?No 98.1% 50 shares
- Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?No 98.1% 50 shares
- Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?No 98.1% 50 shares
- Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?No 98.1% 50 shares
- Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?No 98.1% 50 shares
- Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?No 98.1% 50 shares
- Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?No 98.1% 50 shares
- Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?No 98.1% 50 shares
- Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?No 98.1% 50 shares
- Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?No 98.1% 39.96 shares