Polymarket Trader

LRRRSV

0x4593de4af49ae878958935bf76c5afd9c4f99d77

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.05K
Realized PnL: $1.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $250.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $49.5
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$13.5

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $280.95
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $19.05
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$110.31

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $299.7
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $280.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $19.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $299.7
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $268.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $31.5
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$8.4

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $259.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $40.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$13.5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $288.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $11.85
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$4.35

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $283.95
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $16.05
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $283.04
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $16.95
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $256.48
Potential payout: $299.98
Potential profit: $43.5
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$1.26

No position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$100.5

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $149.99
User PnL: -$121.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $888.15

No position

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.89

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.42

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.85

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.65

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.74

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.16

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.57

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $34.75

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.53

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $29.23

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.11

No position

Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.08

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.91

No position

Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.15

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.51

No position

Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

No position

Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.86

Yes position

Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.65

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $10.34

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.1%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $10.2

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $9.74

No position

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 65.5%
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $7.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 1% 81 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

No 98.7% 0.62 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

No 99.8% 440.9 shares
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?

No 98.1% 0.01 shares
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?

No 98.3% 0.01 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

No 98.9% 156.47 shares
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?

Yes 97.9% 229 shares
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?

Yes 98% 257 shares
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?

Yes 98% 257 shares
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?

Yes 97.9% 257 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 98.3% 258 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 95% 1.29 shares