Polymarket Trader

0x459487Ca62195f7597EA814829fd5aaca58A4beb-1771172974795

0x459487ca62195f7597ea814829fd5aaca58a4beb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $123.47
Realized PnL: $163.97
Win rate: 68.8%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $241.25
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$11.25

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $5.68
Potential payout: $246.91
Potential profit: $241.23
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$14.32

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $109.04
Potential payout: $111.33
Potential profit: $2.28
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.39

Norway position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.35
Potential profit: $87.35
User PnL: -$30

Brazil position

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.53
Potential profit: $73.53
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.84

Egypt position

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.25

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.54

Morocco position

Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.14

Colombia position

Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.51

No position

Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

France position

Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Spain position

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.72

No position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$8.81

Belgium position

Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 32.2% 31.01 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 35.5% 56.34 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Belgium 3% 78.43 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Belgium 25.5% 78.43 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Spain 67% 74.62 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Spain 67% 74.63 shares
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Morocco 99.6% 71.42 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Brazil 68% 73.53 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

France 93% 53.76 shares
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Morocco 70% 71.43 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina 93% 43.01 shares
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance

Colombia 82% 48.78 shares