Polymarket Trader

schneider

0x45a39326be48a1209bc9e641a216513cf19512f0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.2K
Realized PnL: $5.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.47K
Potential profit: $3.47K
User PnL: -$622.28

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $19.36
User PnL: $143.13

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $776.78
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$188.47

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$582.42

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $24.15
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $41.27

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $975.6
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $52.97
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $50.61

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $884.24
Potential payout: $899.99
Potential profit: $15.75
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $14.25

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $827.68
Potential payout: $847.6
Potential profit: $19.92
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $38.69

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $694.71
Potential payout: $706.01
Potential profit: $11.3
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $27.52

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $646.36
Potential payout: $673.64
Potential profit: $27.28
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $652.41
Potential payout: $658.33
Potential profit: $5.92
User PnL: $38.33

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $566.45
Potential payout: $640.06
Potential profit: $73.61
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $16.45

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $599.29
Potential payout: $621.99
Potential profit: $22.7
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $22.29

Yes position

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.7%
Current value: $93.57
Potential payout: $560.3
Potential profit: $466.73
Multiplier: 5.99x
User PnL: -$28.61

SpaceX position

SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $504.94
Potential payout: $520.55
Potential profit: $15.62
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $517.24
Potential profit: $514.4
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$27.15

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $495.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $4.5
User PnL: $22.4

No position

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $467.38
Potential payout: $491.98
Potential profit: $24.6
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $43.11

No position

Will BNB dip to $500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $424.8
Potential payout: $485.49
Potential profit: $60.69
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $71.28
Potential payout: $458.36
Potential profit: $387.09
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $21.28

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $341.76
Potential payout: $414.26
Potential profit: $72.5
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.85

No position

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $396.79
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $3.2
User PnL: $20.6

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $35.27
Potential payout: $371.26
Potential profit: $335.99
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$29.73

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $257.49
Potential payout: $360.13
Potential profit: $102.64
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $47.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450.61

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390.77

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $359.96

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.21

Yes position

Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.78

Yes position

Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.89

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.69

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.62

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.12

Yes position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.34

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.85

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.75

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.47

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.24

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.43

No position

Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.42

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.43

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.87

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.91

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.74

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $125.16

No position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $121.63

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

No 96% 100 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

No 95.4% 73.64 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 99.9% 108.36 shares
Will BNB dip to $500 in June?

No 90% 111.11 shares
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by June 30?

No 97% 30.92 shares
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?

No 95.6% 104.64 shares
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $160 in June?

No 95.8% 104.38 shares
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $160 in June?

No 95.8% 100 shares
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by June 30?

No 91% 50 shares
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?

No 99.1% 138.88 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

No 99.9% 54.34 shares
Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.3% 103.84 shares