No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $121.09
- Potential payout
- $123.44
- Potential profit
- $2.35
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $12.75
Polymarket Trader
skdfjnkrhdckubwieyrsgvd
0x45ca722516f8ed6cd37b29a278e92ddd2aae729a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $234.33
- Realized PnL
- $56.08
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $55.02
- Potential payout
- $70.09
- Potential profit
- $15.07
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$4.49
No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $13.77
- Potential payout
- $27.27
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$10.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.14
- Potential profit
- $25.14
- User PnL
- -$9.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $19.92
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $5.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $11.94
- Potential payout
- $18.51
- Potential profit
- $6.57
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $5.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.44
- Potential profit
- $17.44
- User PnL
- -$8.72
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $6.59
- Potential payout
- $15.88
- Potential profit
- $9.29
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $2.53
- Potential payout
- $3.95
- Potential profit
- $1.42
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $13.09
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $10.19
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $9.13
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $5.64
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48
Yes position
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Multiplier
- 8.20x
- User PnL
- $2.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $2.12
Yes position
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Tundra Esports position
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
England position
Spread: England (-1.5)
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.4%
- Multiplier
- 3.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4?No 86% 21 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4?No 86% 21 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4?No 86% 21 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4?No 87% 21 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4?No 87% 21 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4?No 87% 10.05 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 4?Yes 48% 20 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 3?No 91% 32 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 3?No 86% 28.16 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 3?No 87% 18.19 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 3?No 88% 26 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 3?No 88% 26 shares